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Final Premier League table predicted and it’s bad news for Manchester United and Man City

Manchester City are set to finish behind Liverpool in the Premier League title race while Manchester United will miss out of the top six altogether.

That is according the latest prediction from Five Thirty Eight – the brainchild of world famous statistician Nate Silver.

Silver was named one of the 100 most influential people in the world after correctly predicting the outcomes of the 2008 and 2012 US elections – but his background is actually in sports stats.

The 41-year-old rose to fame for developing a system for forecasting performances and career development of Major League Baseball stars before he launched the blog Five Thirty Eight in 2008, using it to correctly call the subsequent two US elections.

His website has now produced a Premier League model and, after the latest round of games, they have predicted how the table will finish.

Man City will miss out by three points to Liverpool at the top according to the prediction with Pep Guardiola‘s side currently holding a 41 per cent chance of winning the league.

While United have a 15 per cent chance of qualifying for the Champions League as they finish seventh in the model.


The predicted Premier League table

1. Liverpool – 90 points

2. Man City – 87 points

3. Chelsea – 69 points

4. Arsenal – 63 points

5. Tottenham – 59 points

6. Leicester – 58 points

7. Manchester United – 55 points

8. Crystal Palace – 50 points

9. Wolves – 49 points

10. Everton – 49 points


11. Bournemouth – 47 points

12. Burnley – 47 points

13. West Ham – 47 points

14. Southampton – 44 points

15. Brighton – 43 points

16. Sheffield United – 40 points

17. Newcastle United – 40 points

18. Aston Villa – 39 points

19. Watford – 36 points

20. Norwich – 35 points

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